In order to take control of the US Senate this November, Republicans need a net gain of 10 seats. Some of those contests promise to be nail biters, others will be long shots and at least one looks like a gimme. According to a new poll, US Representative John Boozman (R-Arkansas) has a 25 point lead over incumbent Senator Blanch Lincoln (D-Arkansas).

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According to the latest poll, Senator Barbara Boxer (D-California) is in a statistical dead heat (47%-44%) against her Republican challenger, former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina. The poll of likely voters also found Ms. Boxer's job approval rating dipping to its lowest level of her Senate career with 48 percent disapproving and 42 percent approving of her performance. (source)

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At a recent Democratic Party fundraiser, President Barack Obama claimed to have cut taxes and therefore was "amused over the last couple of days where people have been having these rallies about taxes." He added, "You would think they would be saying thank you." Instantly the video was playing everywhere and everyone was horrified or thrilled (depending on their political persuasion) at the president's mocking tone and obvious contempt for the Tea Party protesters. As usual with Mr. Obama, the truth is intentionally lost in his rhetoric and his polarizing brand of "charm".

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In the latest Quinnipiac poll, Former State House Speaker Marco Rubio holds a virtually insurmountable 23 point lead (56% to 33%) over Governor Charlie Crist in Florida's US Senate Republican primary. That should be the whole story but there are whispers about Governor Crist dropping out of the GOP race to run as an Independent. According to that same poll, Governor Crist could win in a three way contest against Mr. Rubio and Democratic US Representative Kendrick Meek. (source)

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The trouble with hope and change is that it only works for the unelected. After you get the job you have to provide more than hope, and change is suddenly defined as "not you". Since President Obama took office, each time American voters have gotten the opportunity they have voted for a different kind of change. Yet the president and his fellow Democrats continue to believe that if they just change the wrapping paper, we'll suddenly want what they're offering.

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