President Barack Obama recorded a telephone message for Hawaiians urging them to vote for a Democrat in this month's special election for Congress, but he neglected to say which Democrat. With two Democrats running against one Republican in the mail-in, winner-take-all contest, polls indicate the Democrats are splitting their party faithful and Republican City Councilman Charles Djou is in the lead. The lack of a decisive endorsement by the president may just push Mr. Djou over the finish line.

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Republican Charles Djou has increased his lead in Hawaii's First Congressional District with less than three weeks before the mail-in, winner-take-all special election. In a new poll, Honolulu City Councilman Djou leads with 36% while former Congressman Ed Case (D) has 28% and state Senate President Colleen Hanabusa (D) trails the pack with 22%. 13% remain undecided. (source)

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Mid-term election season is in full swing and there are at least three races that have both strategic and symbolic significance for the Obama administration. A special Congressional election in Hawaii along with Senate races in Delaware and Illinois have the Obama/Biden home team trailing in the polls and at risk of suffering embarrassing defeats.

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What comes after the Massachusetts Miracle? How about the Pennsylvania Pounding? Or maybe even the Hawaiian Heart Attack? The results of two special elections to be held next month could rock the Democratic Party almost as hard as Senator Scott Brown's (R-Massachusetts) victory did in January.

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